Vaccinations in Andalucia
An overview of the policy, status and chronology of Vaccinations in Andalucia.
04-03-2021 Andalucia has administered 834.477 doses since the beginning of the campaign of which 238.150 are second doses. 178.620 doses were included in this weeks Tuesday delivery. (163.300 were delivered the week before and 133.600 the week before that, an increase over January's average of 73.000. The current rate of administration is about 20.000 doses a day (based on average over last week). At this current rate, it will take 2.1 years to vaccinate (two doses) all Andalucia. Data to 03-03-2021.
Andalucia parliament approved the government plan for mass vaccination. The plan is for using 747 locations including large spaces such as football fields and bullrings, including volunteer helpers. This plan is to have the potential to administer up to 500.000 doses a week. Of course the actual rate will depend on the rate of delivery from the EU. Estimates for this are not published. Does the Andalucia government have access to delivery estimates not in the pubulic domain? The Andalucia health councilor Jesús Aguirre, said in parliament on 04-03-2021 that 'until April or May' deliveries will not be sufficient to cover the plan'. A quick calculation based on current rates to end of May and then 450k per week therafter will complete the vaccination of all Andalucia end of January 2022.
The Andalucia health councilor Jesús Aguirre also said that 43% of over 80s were now vaccinated with one dose and 5% with two. 50% of teachers, and in care homes 99% have received one does and 85% both.
23-02-2021 Vaccinations have been distributed to Group One; residents and staff of senior citizen residences and front-line health professionals and continued with front line then all hospital staff. These groups is now essentially complete. Interesting that Salud are reporting 87% administration in hospital staff, suggesting a 13% refusal. The vaccination continues with other health professionals such as dentists. Dependent people living at home and their professional carers has also started in parallel with Group Five; the 412k over 80s oldest first, now reaching about 25%. Starting this week are teachers and followed by police and security services.
10-02-2021 Andalucía has received its first doses of the Oxford AstraZeneca vaccine. In total this was 34.500 doses which is expected to be the weekly delivery for the next few months. This is Andalucia share by population of the Spain / EU supply. 34.500 doses will increase by about 50% the current 85.000 Pziser & Moderna Supply. It can also be stored at between 2 and 8 centigrade, Spain has decided not to vaccinate over 55s with this vaccine, which is currently being offered to hospital staff.
There is also some dispute as to the ability to administer the sixth dose from a Pfizer vaccine vial which has never been clarified. Andalucia was administering 5 until 06-01-2021. Luckily the EU contract was per dose not per vial.
After a slow start Andalucia and other regions by late January caught up with the supply and are now 'waiting' for their Monday delivery. This supply depends on the EU wide contracts signed by the EMA. Exact delivery schedules are not public in the EU Vaccination strategy but a detailed analysis suggests that in Andalucia (and EU) the current delivery rate will continue until the end of the first quarter 2021. It will then pick up in second, and ramp up in third and fourth quarter. This analysis makes Marin's comment impossible and Moreno's and Illa's comment rather optimistic, we calculate it might reach a third by summer. Delivery delays recently announced in January did not significantly affecting these figures.
19-01-2021 Regions received their fouth weeks supply of Pfizer and a small quantity of Moderna vaccine. Total number of vaccine doses delivered to Andalucia so far is 251.420 and the number administered is 210.065 (84%). At this rate (8.079 per day) it will take 6.1 years to vaccinate (two doses) all Andalucia. On Sunday 17-01-2021 the second doses (21 days) began to be administered, 20.836 people have received both doses and been issued with a QR code certificate. The number of vaccine doses distributed to all Spain's regions is 1.346.400, the number administered is 1.025.937 (76%). 15.642 people have received both doses. Andalucia Data 21-01-2021 and Spain Data 20-01-2021
Andalucia policy was to be vaccinating 80% of doses received, holding back 20% to guarantee the second dose supply. A 'responsible and strategic decision' (Manuel Moreno). This 80% reserve policy was not adhered to and 30.000 is now the declared reserve. The pattern is now; Delivery Monday, reach 80% by Wednesday, 91% by Saturday, Sunday minimal administered. Currently a typical day's administer is 13.000 second doses and 3.000 first doses. On Monday/Tuesday 8/9-02-2021 129k doses were delivered, above the usual 70k weekly.
The Andalucia health minister reported on 10-01-2021 that 1.57% of people (in care homes) had refused the vaccine offered and has not updated this statistic since. Anecdotal evidence of refusal by health workers suggests the rate is now higher.
Spain has ordered 20,873,941 doses (via the EU contract) of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine and has the option to triple that amount, however is only due to receive 4,591,275 doses (22%) by the end of March 2021. This equates to delivery of 356k a week of which 19% or 70.000 doses a week are being distributed to Andalucia. There is some dispute as to the ability to administer the sixth dose from a Pfizer vaccine vial. This naturally questions the delivered doses statistic.
04-01-2021 The vice-president of the Junta de Andalucía, Juan Marín, aid today that “so far 26,000 people in the region had received the first dose of the Pfizer vaccine.” This was the first time that details of the rate of vaccinations had been published for Andalucia, which received 70,000 doces a week ago. In other words only 37% of available doses have been administered. A percentage better than Spanish average of 11%, but would still take 12 years to vaccinate (two doses) all Andalucia.
The aim, he said, is to have around 800,000 people vaccinated by the end of January, although the rate of administering the jabs depends on supply which "on a global level is being quite slow". As only 70,000 weekly delivery has been promised to Andalucia by Madrid from its EU quota, this estimate is rather optimistic.
The president of the Junta de Andalucía, Juanma Moreno, said last weekend that he “hoped to have half of the Andalusian population of eight million people vaccinated by early next summer.” This hope, also qualified by rate of supply, was also wildly optimistic.
'Covid-19 Vaccination Strategy' (Estrategia de Vacunación COVID-19, Ministerio de Sanidad Updated 22-01-2021)